Risk assessment and prediction of flyrock distance by combined multiple regression analysis and Monte Carlo simulation of quarry blasting
- Authors: Armaghani, Danial , Mahdiyar, Amir , Hasanipanah, Mahdi , Faradonbeh, Roohollah , Khandelwal, Manoj , Amnieh, Hassan
- Date: 2016
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering Vol. 49, no. 9 (2016), p. 3631-3641
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- Description: Flyrock is considered as one of the main causes of human injury, fatalities, and structural damage among all undesirable environmental impacts of blasting. Therefore, it seems that the proper prediction/simulation of flyrock is essential, especially in order to determine blast safety area. If proper control measures are taken, then the flyrock distance can be controlled, and, in return, the risk of damage can be reduced or eliminated. The first objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for flyrock estimation based on multiple regression (MR) analyses, and after that, using the developed MR model, flyrock phenomenon was simulated by the Monte Carlo (MC) approach. In order to achieve objectives of this study, 62 blasting operations were investigated in Ulu Tiram quarry, Malaysia, and some controllable and uncontrollable factors were carefully recorded/calculated. The obtained results of MC modeling indicated that this approach is capable of simulating flyrock ranges with a good level of accuracy. The mean of simulated flyrock by MC was obtained as 236.3 m, while this value was achieved as 238.6 m for the measured one. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis was also conducted to investigate the effects of model inputs on the output of the system. The analysis demonstrated that powder factor is the most influential parameter on fly rock among all model inputs. It is noticeable that the proposed MR and MC models should be utilized only in the studied area and the direct use of them in the other conditions is not recommended.
Estimation of the TBM advance rate under hard rock conditions using XGBoost and Bayesian optimization
- Authors: Zhou, Jian , Qiu, Yingui , Zhu, Shuangli , Armaghani, Danial , Khandelwal, Manoj , Mohamad, Edy
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Underground Space Vol. 6, no. 5 (Oct 2021), p. 506-515
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- Description: The advance rate (AR) of a tunnel boring machine (TBM) under hard rock conditions is a key parameter in the successful implementation of tunneling engineering. In this study, we improved the accuracy of prediction models by employing a hybrid model of extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) with Bayesian optimization (BO) to model the TBM AR. To develop the proposed models, 1286 sets of data were collected from the Peng Selangor Raw Water Transfer tunnel project in Malaysia. The database consists of rock mass and intact rock features, including rock mass rating, rock quality designation, weathered zone, uniaxial compressive strength, and Brazilian tensile strength. Machine specifications, including revolution per minute and thrust force, were considered to predict the TBM AR. The accuracies of the predictive models were examined using the root mean squares error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R-2) between the observed and predicted yield by employing a five-fold cross-validation procedure. Results showed that the BO algorithm can capture better hyper-parameters for the XGBoost prediction model than can the default XGBoost model. The robustness and generalization of the BO-XGBoost model yielded prominent results with RMSE and R-2 values of 0.0967 and 0.9806 (for the testing phase), respectively. The results demonstrated the merits of the proposed BO-XGBoost model. In addition, variable importance through mutual information tests was applied to interpret the XGBoost model and demonstrated that machine parameters have the greatest impact as compared to rock mass and material properties.