- Title
- A configural model of expert judgement as a preliminary epidemiological study of injury problems: An application to drowning
- Creator
- Morgan, Damian; Ozanne-Smith, Joan
- Date
- 2019
- Type
- Text; Journal article
- Identifier
- http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/170998
- Identifier
- vital:14238
- Identifier
- 10.1371/journal.pone.0211166
- Identifier
- ISBN:1932-6203
- Abstract
- Robust epidemiological studies identifying determinants of negative health outcomes require significant research effort. Expert judgement is proposed as an efficient alternative or preliminary research design for risk factor identification associated with unintentional injury. This proposition was tested in a multi-factorial balanced experimental design using specialist judges (N = 18), lifeguards and surfers, to assess the risk contribution to drowning for swimming ability, surf bathing experience, and wave height. All factors provided unique contributions to drowning risk (p < .001). An interaction (p = .02) indicated that occasional surf bathers face a proportionally increased risk of drowning at increased wave heights relative to experienced surf bathers. Although findings were limited by strict criteria, and no gold standard comparison data were available, the study provides new evidence on causal risk factors for a drowning scenario. Countermeasures based on these factors are proposed. Further application of the method may assist in developing new interventions to reduce unintentional injury. © 2019 Morgan, Ozanne-Smith. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science
- Relation
- PLoS ONE Vol. 14, no. 10 (2019), p.
- Rights
- © 2019 Morgan, Ozanne-Smith.
- Rights
- This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
- Rights
- This metadata is freely available under a CCO license
- Rights
- Open Access
- Subject
- MD Multidisciplinary; Australia; New York; New South Wales Australia; Research; Swimming Accidents & Safety; Design of Experiments; Injury Prevention; Epidemiology; Experimental Design; Swimming; Surf; Risk Analysis; Beaches; Handbooks; Bathing; Hypotheses; Studies
- Full Text
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