- Title
- Scenario planning including ecosystem services for a coastal region in South Australia
- Creator
- Sandhu, Harpinder; Clarke, Beverley; Baring, Ryan; Anderson, Sharolyn; Fisk, Claire
- Date
- 2018
- Type
- Text; Journal article
- Identifier
- http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/177227
- Identifier
- vital:15259
- Identifier
-
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2018.04.006
- Identifier
- ISBN:2212-0416 (ISSN)
- Abstract
- Coastal regions provide vital ecosystem services for the human well-being. Rapid economic growth and increasing population in coastal regions is exerting more pressure on coastal environments. Here we develop four plausible scenarios to the year 2050 that address above issues in the northern Adelaide coastline, South Australia. Four scenarios were named after their characteristics, Lacuna, Gold Coast SA, Down to Earth, and Green & Gold. Lacuna and Gold Coast SA. Economy declined significantly in Lacuna, whereas, there is highest annual GDP growth (3.5%) in Gold Coast SA, which was closely followed by Green & Gold scenario (3%), GDP under Down to Earth grows at moderate 1.5%. There is highest population growth in Gold Coast SA followed by Green & Gold, Down to Earth and Lacuna. Gold Coast SA scenario led to high inequality as estimated by the Gini co-efficient of 0.45 compared to the current value of 0.33. Ecosystem services declined rapidly under Green & Gold and Lacuna as compared to the other two scenarios. The combination of scenario planning and ecosystem services valuation provides the capacity to guide coastal planning by illustrating enhanced social, environmental and economic benefits. © 2018 Elsevier B.V. **Please note that there are multiple authors for this article therefore only the name of the first 5 including Federation University Australia affiliate “Harpinder Sandhu” is provided in this record**
- Publisher
- Elsevier B.V.
- Relation
- Ecosystem Services Vol. 31, no. (2018), p. 194-207
- Rights
- All metadata describing materials held in, or linked to, the repository is freely available under a CC0 licence
- Rights
- Copyright @ 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
- Rights
- Open Access
- Subject
- 1402 Applied Economics; 1499 Other Economics; Coastal zone; Conservation; Economic value; Evidence-based decisions; Resource management; Saltmarshes
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