- Title
- Severe tropical cyclones over southwest Pacific Islands : economic impacts and implications for disaster risk management
- Creator
- Deo, Anil; Chand, Savin; McIntosh, R. Duncan; Prakash, Bipen; Holbrook, Neil; Magee, Andrew; Haruhiru, Alick; Malsale, Philip
- Date
- 2022
- Type
- Text; Journal article
- Identifier
- http://researchonline.federation.edu.au/vital/access/HandleResolver/1959.17/186843
- Identifier
- vital:16957
- Identifier
-
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03391-2
- Identifier
- ISBN:0165-0009 (ISSN)
- Abstract
- Tropical cyclones (TCs) are amongst the costliest natural hazards for southwest Pacific (SWP) Island nations. Extreme winds coupled with heavy rainfall and related coastal hazards, such as large waves and high seas, can have devastating consequences for life and property. Effects of anthropogenic climate change are likely to make TCs even more destructive in the SWP (as that observed particularly over Fiji) and elsewhere around the globe, yet TCs may occur less often. However, the underpinning science of quantifying future TC projections amid multiple uncertainties can be complex. The challenge for scientists is how to turn such technical knowledge framed around uncertainties into tangible products to inform decision-making in the disaster risk management (DRM) and disaster risk reduction (DRR) sector. Drawing on experiences from past TC events as analogies to what may happen in a warming climate can be useful. The role of science-based climate services tailored to the needs of the DRM and DRR sector is critical in this context. In the first part of this paper, we examine cases of historically severe TCs in the SWP and quantify their socio-economic impacts. The second part of this paper discusses a decision-support framework developed in collaboration with a number of agencies in the SWP, featuring science-based climate services that inform different stages of planning in national-level risk management strategies. © 2022, The Author(s).
- Publisher
- Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
- Relation
- Climatic Change Vol. 172, no. 3-4 (2022), p.
- Rights
- All metadata describing materials held in, or linked to, the repository is freely available under a CC0 licence
- Rights
- http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Rights
- Copyright © 2022, The Author(s)
- Rights
- Open Access
- Subject
- MD Multidisciplinary; Disaster risk management; Economic loss; Pacific Island Countries; Tropical cyclones
- Full Text
- Reviewed
- Funder
- Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions This work is supported through the funding from the NextGen 1.5 project, which is an Australian Government’s Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade initiative. It is also supported through funding from the Earth Systems and Climate Change Hub of the Australian Government's National Environmental Science Program (NESP).
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