Risk assessment and prediction of flyrock distance by combined multiple regression analysis and Monte Carlo simulation of quarry blasting
- Authors: Armaghani, Danial , Mahdiyar, Amir , Hasanipanah, Mahdi , Faradonbeh, Roohollah , Khandelwal, Manoj , Amnieh, Hassan
- Date: 2016
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering Vol. 49, no. 9 (2016), p. 3631-3641
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- Description: Flyrock is considered as one of the main causes of human injury, fatalities, and structural damage among all undesirable environmental impacts of blasting. Therefore, it seems that the proper prediction/simulation of flyrock is essential, especially in order to determine blast safety area. If proper control measures are taken, then the flyrock distance can be controlled, and, in return, the risk of damage can be reduced or eliminated. The first objective of this study was to develop a predictive model for flyrock estimation based on multiple regression (MR) analyses, and after that, using the developed MR model, flyrock phenomenon was simulated by the Monte Carlo (MC) approach. In order to achieve objectives of this study, 62 blasting operations were investigated in Ulu Tiram quarry, Malaysia, and some controllable and uncontrollable factors were carefully recorded/calculated. The obtained results of MC modeling indicated that this approach is capable of simulating flyrock ranges with a good level of accuracy. The mean of simulated flyrock by MC was obtained as 236.3 m, while this value was achieved as 238.6 m for the measured one. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis was also conducted to investigate the effects of model inputs on the output of the system. The analysis demonstrated that powder factor is the most influential parameter on fly rock among all model inputs. It is noticeable that the proposed MR and MC models should be utilized only in the studied area and the direct use of them in the other conditions is not recommended.
Estimation of the TBM advance rate under hard rock conditions using XGBoost and Bayesian optimization
- Authors: Zhou, Jian , Qiu, Yingui , Zhu, Shuangli , Armaghani, Danial , Khandelwal, Manoj , Mohamad, Edy
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Underground Space Vol. 6, no. 5 (Oct 2021), p. 506-515
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- Description: The advance rate (AR) of a tunnel boring machine (TBM) under hard rock conditions is a key parameter in the successful implementation of tunneling engineering. In this study, we improved the accuracy of prediction models by employing a hybrid model of extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) with Bayesian optimization (BO) to model the TBM AR. To develop the proposed models, 1286 sets of data were collected from the Peng Selangor Raw Water Transfer tunnel project in Malaysia. The database consists of rock mass and intact rock features, including rock mass rating, rock quality designation, weathered zone, uniaxial compressive strength, and Brazilian tensile strength. Machine specifications, including revolution per minute and thrust force, were considered to predict the TBM AR. The accuracies of the predictive models were examined using the root mean squares error (RMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R-2) between the observed and predicted yield by employing a five-fold cross-validation procedure. Results showed that the BO algorithm can capture better hyper-parameters for the XGBoost prediction model than can the default XGBoost model. The robustness and generalization of the BO-XGBoost model yielded prominent results with RMSE and R-2 values of 0.0967 and 0.9806 (for the testing phase), respectively. The results demonstrated the merits of the proposed BO-XGBoost model. In addition, variable importance through mutual information tests was applied to interpret the XGBoost model and demonstrated that machine parameters have the greatest impact as compared to rock mass and material properties.
A combination of expert-based system and advanced decision-tree algorithms to predict air-overpressure resulting from quarry blasting
- Authors: He, Ziguang , Armaghani, Danial , Masoumnezhad, Mojtaba , Khandelwal, Manoj , Zhou, Jian , Murlidhar, Bhatawdekar
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Natural Resources Research Vol. 30, no. 2 (2021), p. 1889-1903
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- Description: This study combined a fuzzy Delphi method (FDM) and two advanced decision-tree algorithms to predict air-overpressure (AOp) caused by mine blasting. The FDM was used for input selection. Thus, the panel of experts selected four inputs, including powder factor, max charge per delay, stemming length, and distance from the blast face. Once the input selection was completed, two decision-tree algorithms, namely extreme gradient boosting tree (XGBoost-tree) and random forest (RF), were applied using the inputs selected by the experts. The models are evaluated with the following criteria: correlation coefficient, mean absolute error, gains chart, and Taylor diagram. The applied models were compared with the XGBoost-tree and RF models using the full set of data without input selection results. The results of hybridization showed that the XGBoost-tree model outperformed the RF model. Concerning the gains, the XGBoost-tree again outperformed the RF model. In comparison with the single decision-tree models, the single models had slightly better correlation coefficients; however, the hybridized models were simpler and easier to understand, analyze and implement. In addition, the Taylor diagram showed that the models applied outperformed some other conventional machine learning models, including support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural network. Overall, the findings of this study suggest that combining expert opinion and advanced decision-tree algorithms can result in accurate and easy to understand predictions of AOp resulting from blasting in quarry sites. © 2020, International Association for Mathematical Geosciences.