Deep learning-based approach for detecting trajectory modifications of cassini-huygens spacecraft
- Aldabbas, Ashraf, Gal, Zoltan, Ghori, Khawaja, Imran, Muhammad, Shoaib, Muhammad
- Authors: Aldabbas, Ashraf , Gal, Zoltan , Ghori, Khawaja , Imran, Muhammad , Shoaib, Muhammad
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 9, no. (2021), p. 39111-39125
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- Description: There were necessary trajectory modifications of Cassini spacecraft during its last 14 years movement cycle of the interplanetary research project. In the scale 1.3 hour of signal propagation time and 1.4-billion-kilometer size of Earth-Cassini channel, complex event detection in the orbit modifications requires special investigation and analysis of the collected big data. The technologies for space exploration warrant a high standard of nuanced and detailed research. The Cassini mission has accumulated quite huge volumes of science records. This generated a curiosity derives mainly from a need to use machine learning to analyze deep space missions. For energy saving considerations, the communication between the Earth and Cassini was executed in non-periodic mode. This paper provides a sophisticated in-depth learning approach for detecting Cassini spacecraft trajectory modifications in post-processing mode. The proposed model utilizes the ability of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for drawing out useful data and learning the time series inner data pattern, along with the forcefulness of LSTM layers for distinguishing dependencies among the long-short term. Our research study exploited the statistical rates, Matthews correlation coefficient, and F1 score to evaluate our models. We carried out multiple tests and evaluated the provided approach against several advanced models. The preparatory analysis showed that exploiting the LSTM layer provides a notable boost in rising the detection process performance. The proposed model achieved a number of 232 trajectory modification detections with 99.98% accuracy among the last 13.35 years of the Cassini spacecraft life. © 2013 IEEE.
- Authors: Aldabbas, Ashraf , Gal, Zoltan , Ghori, Khawaja , Imran, Muhammad , Shoaib, Muhammad
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 9, no. (2021), p. 39111-39125
- Full Text:
- Reviewed:
- Description: There were necessary trajectory modifications of Cassini spacecraft during its last 14 years movement cycle of the interplanetary research project. In the scale 1.3 hour of signal propagation time and 1.4-billion-kilometer size of Earth-Cassini channel, complex event detection in the orbit modifications requires special investigation and analysis of the collected big data. The technologies for space exploration warrant a high standard of nuanced and detailed research. The Cassini mission has accumulated quite huge volumes of science records. This generated a curiosity derives mainly from a need to use machine learning to analyze deep space missions. For energy saving considerations, the communication between the Earth and Cassini was executed in non-periodic mode. This paper provides a sophisticated in-depth learning approach for detecting Cassini spacecraft trajectory modifications in post-processing mode. The proposed model utilizes the ability of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks for drawing out useful data and learning the time series inner data pattern, along with the forcefulness of LSTM layers for distinguishing dependencies among the long-short term. Our research study exploited the statistical rates, Matthews correlation coefficient, and F1 score to evaluate our models. We carried out multiple tests and evaluated the provided approach against several advanced models. The preparatory analysis showed that exploiting the LSTM layer provides a notable boost in rising the detection process performance. The proposed model achieved a number of 232 trajectory modification detections with 99.98% accuracy among the last 13.35 years of the Cassini spacecraft life. © 2013 IEEE.
Treating class imbalance in non-technical loss detection : an exploratory analysis of a real dataset
- Ghori, Khawaja, Awais, Muhammad, Khattak, Akmal, Imran, Muhammad, Amin, Fazal, Szathmary, Laszlo
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Awais, Muhammad , Khattak, Akmal , Imran, Muhammad , Amin, Fazal , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 9, no. (2021), p. 98928-98938
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- Description: Non-Technical Loss (NTL) is a significant concern for many electric supply companies due to the financial impact caused as a result of suspect consumption activities. A range of machine learning classifiers have been tested across multiple synthesized and real datasets to combat NTL. An important characteristic that exists in these datasets is the imbalance distribution of the classes. When the focus is on predicting the minority class of suspect activities, the classifiers' sensitivity to the class imbalance becomes more important. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of a range of classifiers with under-sampling and over-sampling techniques. The results are compared with the untreated imbalanced dataset. In addition, we compare the performance of the classifiers using penalized classification model. Lastly, the paper presents an exploratory analysis of using different sampling techniques on NTL detection in a real dataset and identify the best performing classifiers. We conclude that logistic regression is the most sensitive to the sampling techniques as the change of its recall is measured around 50% for all sampling techniques. While the random forest is the least sensitive to the sampling technique, the difference in its precision is observed between 1% - 6% for all sampling techniques. © 2013 IEEE.
Treating class imbalance in non-technical loss detection : an exploratory analysis of a real dataset
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Awais, Muhammad , Khattak, Akmal , Imran, Muhammad , Amin, Fazal , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2021
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 9, no. (2021), p. 98928-98938
- Full Text:
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- Description: Non-Technical Loss (NTL) is a significant concern for many electric supply companies due to the financial impact caused as a result of suspect consumption activities. A range of machine learning classifiers have been tested across multiple synthesized and real datasets to combat NTL. An important characteristic that exists in these datasets is the imbalance distribution of the classes. When the focus is on predicting the minority class of suspect activities, the classifiers' sensitivity to the class imbalance becomes more important. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of a range of classifiers with under-sampling and over-sampling techniques. The results are compared with the untreated imbalanced dataset. In addition, we compare the performance of the classifiers using penalized classification model. Lastly, the paper presents an exploratory analysis of using different sampling techniques on NTL detection in a real dataset and identify the best performing classifiers. We conclude that logistic regression is the most sensitive to the sampling techniques as the change of its recall is measured around 50% for all sampling techniques. While the random forest is the least sensitive to the sampling technique, the difference in its precision is observed between 1% - 6% for all sampling techniques. © 2013 IEEE.
Impact of feature selection on non-technical loss detection
- Ghori, Khawaja, Rabeeh Ayaz, Abbasi, Awais, Muhammad, Imran, Muhammad, Ullah, Atta, Szathmary, Laszlo
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Rabeeh Ayaz, Abbasi , Awais, Muhammad , Imran, Muhammad , Ullah, Atta , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2020
- Type: Text , Conference paper
- Relation: 6th Conference on Data Science and Machine Learning Applications, CDMA 2020, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, 4 to 5 March 2020, Proceedings - 2020 6th Conference on Data Science and Machine Learning Applications, CDMA 2020 p. 19-24
- Full Text: false
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- Description: Over the years, many countries have faced huge financial deficits due to Non-Technical Loss (NTL) in power sector. There are many ways of attempting to illegal use of electricity like by-passing and reversing meters. There have been many attempts to bring down NTL using manual and automated techniques. Manual NTL detection is not proving fruitful as it incurs heavy costs and has a low hit ratio. Due to the shortcoming of manual NTL detection, automated detection of NTL using machine learning classifiers is gaining attention in the research community. The datasets containing NTL belong to the class imbalance domain where regular consumers (negative class) out weight the representation of irregular consumers (positive class). To identify the right number of representative records, many techniques are proposed but selecting the right features in deciding NTL is equally an important task where not much has been contributed to the literature. In this paper, we propose the Incremental Feature Selection (IFS) algorithm which first uses feature importance to identify the most relevant features for NTL detection and then these features are used to test three classifiers namely CatBoost, Decision Tree (DT) Classifier and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) for NTL detection. This way, we have not only identified the most relevant features for NTL detection in a real dataset but also have brought down the overall computation time of the classifiers. Moreover, our proposed framework is tested on three performance evaluation metrics used in imbalance domain. The results show that using the most relevant features identified by the IFS algorithm, the three classifiers have the same or slightly better efficiency as compared to using all features. © 2020 IEEE.
Performance analysis of different types of machine learning classifiers for non-technical loss detection
- Ghori, Khawaja, Abbasi, Rabeeh, Awais, Muhammad, Imran, Muhammad, Ullah, Ata, Szathmary, Laszlo
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Abbasi, Rabeeh , Awais, Muhammad , Imran, Muhammad , Ullah, Ata , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2020
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 8, no. (2020), p. 16033-16048
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- Description: With the ever-growing demand of electric power, it is quite challenging to detect and prevent Non-Technical Loss (NTL) in power industries. NTL is committed by meter bypassing, hooking from the main lines, reversing and tampering the meters. Manual on-site checking and reporting of NTL remains an unattractive strategy due to the required manpower and associated cost. The use of machine learning classifiers has been an attractive option for NTL detection. It enhances data-oriented analysis and high hit ratio along with less cost and manpower requirements. However, there is still a need to explore the results across multiple types of classifiers on a real-world dataset. This paper considers a real dataset from a power supply company in Pakistan to identify NTL. We have evaluated 15 existing machine learning classifiers across 9 types which also include the recently developed CatBoost, LGBoost and XGBoost classifiers. Our work is validated using extensive simulations. Results elucidate that ensemble methods and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) outperform the other types of classifiers for NTL detection in our real dataset. Moreover, we have also derived a procedure to identify the top-14 features out of a total of 71 features, which are contributing 77% in predicting NTL. We conclude that including more features beyond this threshold does not improve performance and thus limiting to the selected feature set reduces the computation time required by the classifiers. Last but not least, the paper also analyzes the results of the classifiers with respect to their types, which has opened a new area of research in NTL detection. © 2013 IEEE.
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Abbasi, Rabeeh , Awais, Muhammad , Imran, Muhammad , Ullah, Ata , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2020
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: IEEE Access Vol. 8, no. (2020), p. 16033-16048
- Full Text:
- Reviewed:
- Description: With the ever-growing demand of electric power, it is quite challenging to detect and prevent Non-Technical Loss (NTL) in power industries. NTL is committed by meter bypassing, hooking from the main lines, reversing and tampering the meters. Manual on-site checking and reporting of NTL remains an unattractive strategy due to the required manpower and associated cost. The use of machine learning classifiers has been an attractive option for NTL detection. It enhances data-oriented analysis and high hit ratio along with less cost and manpower requirements. However, there is still a need to explore the results across multiple types of classifiers on a real-world dataset. This paper considers a real dataset from a power supply company in Pakistan to identify NTL. We have evaluated 15 existing machine learning classifiers across 9 types which also include the recently developed CatBoost, LGBoost and XGBoost classifiers. Our work is validated using extensive simulations. Results elucidate that ensemble methods and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) outperform the other types of classifiers for NTL detection in our real dataset. Moreover, we have also derived a procedure to identify the top-14 features out of a total of 71 features, which are contributing 77% in predicting NTL. We conclude that including more features beyond this threshold does not improve performance and thus limiting to the selected feature set reduces the computation time required by the classifiers. Last but not least, the paper also analyzes the results of the classifiers with respect to their types, which has opened a new area of research in NTL detection. © 2013 IEEE.
Performance analysis of machine learning classifiers for non-technical loss detection
- Ghori, Khawaja, Imran, Muhammad, Nawaz, Asad, Abbasi, Rabeeh, Ullah, Ata, Szathmary, Laszlo
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Imran, Muhammad , Nawaz, Asad , Abbasi, Rabeeh , Ullah, Ata , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2023
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing Vol. 14, no. 11 (2023), p. 15327-15342
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- Description: Power companies are responsible for producing and transferring the required amount of electricity from grid stations to individual households. Many countries suffer huge losses in billions of dollars due to non-technical loss (NTL) in power supply companies. To deal with NTL, many machine learning classifiers have been employed in recent time. However, few has been studied about the performance evaluation metrics that are used in NTL detection to evaluate how good or bad the classifier is in predicting the non-technical loss. This paper first uses three classifiers: random forest, K-nearest neighbors and linear support vector machine to predict the occurrence of NTL in a real dataset of an electric supply company containing approximately 80,000 monthly consumption records. Then, it computes 14 performance evaluation metrics across the three classifiers and identify the key scientific relationships between them. These relationships provide insights into deciding which classifier can be more useful under given scenarios for NTL detection. This work can be proved to be a baseline not only for the NTL detection in power industry but also for the selection of appropriate performance evaluation metrics for NTL detection. © 2020, The Author(s).
- Authors: Ghori, Khawaja , Imran, Muhammad , Nawaz, Asad , Abbasi, Rabeeh , Ullah, Ata , Szathmary, Laszlo
- Date: 2023
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing Vol. 14, no. 11 (2023), p. 15327-15342
- Full Text:
- Reviewed:
- Description: Power companies are responsible for producing and transferring the required amount of electricity from grid stations to individual households. Many countries suffer huge losses in billions of dollars due to non-technical loss (NTL) in power supply companies. To deal with NTL, many machine learning classifiers have been employed in recent time. However, few has been studied about the performance evaluation metrics that are used in NTL detection to evaluate how good or bad the classifier is in predicting the non-technical loss. This paper first uses three classifiers: random forest, K-nearest neighbors and linear support vector machine to predict the occurrence of NTL in a real dataset of an electric supply company containing approximately 80,000 monthly consumption records. Then, it computes 14 performance evaluation metrics across the three classifiers and identify the key scientific relationships between them. These relationships provide insights into deciding which classifier can be more useful under given scenarios for NTL detection. This work can be proved to be a baseline not only for the NTL detection in power industry but also for the selection of appropriate performance evaluation metrics for NTL detection. © 2020, The Author(s).
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