Spatio-temporal epidemiology of the cholera outbreak in Papua New Guinea, 2009-2011
- Authors: Horwood, Paul , Karl, Stephan , Mueller, Ivo , Jonduo, Marinjho , Pavlin, Boris , Dagina, Rosheila , Ropa, Berry , Bieb, Sibauk , Rosewell, Alexander , Umezaki, Masahiro , Siba, Peter , Greenhill, Andrew
- Date: 2014
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: BMC Infectious Diseases Vol. 14, no. 1 (2014), p.
- Full Text:
- Reviewed:
- Description: Background: Cholera continues to be a devastating disease in many developing countries where inadequate safe water supply and poor sanitation facilitate spread. From July 2009 until late 2011 Papua New Guinea experienced the first outbreak of cholera recorded in the country, resulting in > 15,500 cases and > 500 deaths. Methods: Using the national cholera database, we analysed the spatio-temporal distribution and clustering of the Papua New Guinea cholera outbreak. The Kulldorff space-time permutation scan statistic, contained in the software package SatScan v9.2 was used to describe the first 8 weeks of the outbreak in Morobe Province before cholera cases spread throughout other regions of the country. Data were aggregated at the provincial level to describe the spread of the disease to other affected provinces. Results: Spatio-temporal and cluster analyses revealed that the outbreak was characterized by three distinct phases punctuated by explosive propagation of cases when the outbreak spread to a new region. The lack of road networks across most of Papua New Guinea is likely to have had a major influence on the slow spread of the disease during this outbreak. Conclusions: Identification of high risk areas and the likely mode of spread can guide government health authorities to formulate public health strategies to mitigate the spread of the disease through education campaigns, vaccination, increased surveillance in targeted areas and interventions to improve water, sanitation and hygiene.
Improved laboratory capacity is required to respond better future cholera outbreaks in Papua New Guinea
- Authors: Greenhill, Andrew , Rosewell, Alexander , Kas, Monalisa , Manning, Laurens , Latorre, Leomeldo , Siba, Peter , Horwood, Paul
- Date: 2012
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Western Pacific Surveillance and Response Vol. 3, no. 2 (2012 2012), p. 1-3
- Full Text: false
- Reviewed:
- Description: Cholera was first detected in Papua New Guinea in July 2009, caused by Vibrio cholerae O1 El Tor serotype Ogawa.1 By late 2011, 15 500 cases had been reported throughout lowland Papua New Guinea with a case fatality rate of 3.2%.2 The epidemic has since slowed, with only sporadic cases reported in Western Province and the Autonomous Region of Bougainville (ARB). Accurate and timely diagnosis is a critical element of the public health response to cholera, yet in low-income countries where the burden of cholera is the greatest, diagnostic services are often limited. Here we report on the diagnostic challenges and the logistical factors that impacted on diagnosis during the first reported outbreak of cholera in Papua New Guinea.
Clonal origins of Vibrio cholerae O1 El Tor strains, Papua New Guinea, 2009-2011
- Authors: Horwood, Paul , Collins, Deirdre , Jonduo, Marinjho , Rosewell, Alexander , Dutta, Samir , Dagina, Rosheila , Ropa, Berry , Siba, Peter , Greenhill, Andrew
- Date: 2011
- Type: Text , Journal article
- Relation: Emerging Infectious Diseases Vol. 17, no. 11 (2011), p. 2063-2065
- Full Text:
- Reviewed:
- Description: We used multilocus sequence typing and variable number tandem repeat analysis to determine the clonal origins of Vibrio cholerae O1 El Tor strains from an outbreak of cholera that began in 2009 in Papua New Guinea. The epidemic is ongoing, and transmission risk is elevated within the Pacific region.